Assignment 5 FIN 421-SPRING 2024

                                      Assignment 5 FIN 421-SPRING 2024

Assignment 5 FIN 421

Assignment 5

Due: Thursday, 04.11.24 at 11:59 pm

In this assignment you will apply the binomial tree model to determine the fair value of an Asian option.

Valuing an Exotic Option

The payoff of an Asian option is a function of the underlying’s average price over the life of the option. These average price options are most commonly written on exchange rates and interest rates. For example, an exporter such as Mercedes Benz may have a fairly steady monthly foreign currency income stream from it’s car sales abroad. In order to hedge it’s currency exposure over the next year, Mercedes may acquire an option whose payoff is dependent on the average exchange rate over the next 12 months.

At maturity, an Asian call option has a payoff of max(0; S — A}, where S is the average price of the underlying asset over the option’s life. This implies that the option’s payoff is path dependent, i.e. it’s payoff does not only depend on the price of the underlying at maturity, but instead on the entire price path. To price the option, we have to rely on a tree that is non-recombining:

Note that while the price of the underlying is identical for the two paths “ud” and “du” (since udSo = duS$), the payoff of the Asian call differs across the two states. For “ud”, the average price equals S(ud) =         + uS$ + udS$), whereas for “du” is equals S(du) =

| (So + dS0 + duS$) (a different value). In general, for a tree with n periods, there will be 2n final payoff states.

For the example we will consider, the underlying has a current price of $100 and an annual volatility of 20%. The (continuously compounded) risk free rate is 2% p.a. Your task is to value an Asian call with a strike price of X = 95 that has 3 months to maturity and cannot be exercised early.

Steps:

  1. You will need 4 trees: (1) underlying S (2) Asian call C (3) hedge ratio A (4) cash account

B.

  1. Begin by setting up the tree for the While it is possible to write this tree as recombining (as in the examples we considered in lecture 10), it will be easier for the subsequent analysis to write the tree of the underlying as non-recombining (as in the illustration above).
  2. Next, set up the tree for the Asian call and compute its’ payoffs in the final
  3. Then, set up trees for the hedge ratio and the cash account and work your way from the last period back as usual.
  4. All trees should be non-recombining as in the illustration

Questions:

  1. Based on a 2-period tree, what is the no arbitrage price of the Asian call?
  2. Based on the same tree, describe in detail the trades necessary for implementing the dynamic trading strategy that replicates the Asian call’s payoff. How many shares of the underlying to you buy/sell at each point in time and in each state (at each node in the tree)? What cash flow (in dollars) is generated by these trades? How much risk-free debt do you take out or repay at each point in time and in each state?

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Initial responses to the DQ should address all components of the questions asked, including a minimum of one scholarly source, and be at least 250 words. Successful responses are substantive (i.e., add something new to the discussion, engage others in the discussion, well-developed idea) and include at least one scholarly source. One or two-sentence responses, simple statements of agreement or “good post,” and responses that are off-topic will not count as substantive. Substantive responses should be at least 150 words. I encourage you to incorporate the readings from the week (as applicable) into your responses.

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Your initial responses to the mandatory DQ do not count toward participation and are graded separately. In addition to the DQ responses, you must post at least one reply to peers (or me) on three separate days, for a total of three replies. Participation posts do not require a scholarly source/citation (unless you cite someone else’s work). Part of your weekly participation includes viewing the weekly announcement and attesting to watching it in the comments. These announcements are made to ensure you understand everything that is due during the week.

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I discourage over-utilization of direct quotes in DQs and assignments at the Master’s level and deduct points accordingly. As Masters’ level students, it is important that you be able to critically analyze and interpret information from journal articles and other resources. Simply restating someone else’s words does not demonstrate an understanding of the content or critical analysis of the content. It is best to paraphrase content and cite your source.

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